Euro Area Core Inflation Rate 4 November 2026
Euro Area Core Inflation Rate 4 November 2026: the October 2026 figure is due at 10:00 UTC. The last release came in at 2.5% for September 2026 against a forecast of 2.5%. Of the last 12 releases, 4 came in above the forecast and 6 below it.
These figures were verified on 27 Oct 2026 from the source: EUROSTAT. This page reports the release as published: the figures and what a print like it usually does to the currency.
What a surprise usually does
Above the forecast: A clear beat, especially if core inflation stays well above 2% or rises, usually supports the euro as markets price a firmer ECB path. The reaction can be strong when the surprise is broad-based.
Below the forecast: A clear miss or continued easing toward 2% usually weighs on the euro as traders see more room for ECB cuts. The effect can be strong if services or other underlying prices also cool.
In line with the forecast: An in-line figure usually leaves the euro with a limited reaction, unless its components sharply change the inflation outlook.
