Forex Fundamentals
Euro Area Inflation Rate (HICP)

Euro Area Inflation Rate (HICP) 1 July 2026

Euro Area Inflation Rate (HICP) 1 July 2026: 2.8% for June 2026, below the 3% forecast and down from 3.2% in May 2026. It is the lowest reading since March 2026. 2 of the last 12 releases came in below the forecast. Printed 2.8%, above the 2% target. It was released on Wed 1 Jul 2026 at 09:00 UTC.

These figures were verified on 4 Oct 2026 from the source: EUROSTAT. This page reports the release as published: the figures, the consensus forecast and what a print like it usually does to the currency.

Actual
2.8%
June 2026
Forecast
3%
The market consensus
Previous
3.2%
As the source gives it

What a print like this usually does

Below the forecast: A clear miss or continued progress toward 2% usually weighs on the euro as markets price more scope for cuts. The reaction is strongest when core inflation also cools.

Euro Area Inflation Rate (HICP) 1 July 2026: 2.8% for June 2026 against a 3% forecast, with the last 12 releases
Sharing this? Please link to this page as the source.Download the chart

Cite this release

If you cite this release, please link to this page:

Euro Area Inflation Rate (HICP) 1 July 2026: 2.8% vs 3% forecast (EUROSTAT). Forex Fundamentals, https://forexfundamentals.com/economic-calendar/eur-cpi/2026-07-01

The last 12 releases · times in UTC
ReleasedForActualForecastPrevious
1 Jul 2026Jun2.8%3%3.2%
2 Jun 2026May3.2%3.2%3.0%
30 Apr 2026Apr3.0%2.9%2.6%
31 Mar 2026Mar2.5%2.6%1.9%
3 Mar 2026Feb1.9%1.7%1.7%
4 Feb 2026Jan1.7%1.7%2.0%
2 Dec 2025Nov2.2%2.1%2.1%
31 Oct 2025Oct2.1%2.1%2.2%
1 Oct 2025Sep2.2%2.2%2%
2 Sep 2025Aug2.1%2%2%
1 Aug 2025Jul2%1.9%2%
1 Jul 2025Jun2%2%1.9%
The release before:Euro Area Inflation Rate (HICP) 2 June 2026The release after:Euro Area Inflation Rate (HICP) 31 July 2026Euro Area Inflation Rate (HICP): every recent resultThis week’s economic calendar