UK Inflation Rate (CPI)

UK Inflation Rate (CPI) 20 August 2025

UK Inflation Rate (CPI) 20 August 2025: 3.8% for July 2025, above the 3.7% forecast and up from 3.6% in June 2025. It is the highest of the last 12 releases. It is the second release in a row above the forecast. Printed 3.8%, above the 2% target. It was released on Wed 20 Aug 2025 at 06:00 UTC.

These figures were verified on 4 Oct 2026 from the source: Office for National Statistics. This page reports the release as published: the figures, the consensus forecast and what a print like it usually does to the currency.

Actual
3.8%
July 2025
Forecast
3.7%
The market consensus
Previous
3.6%
As the source gives it

What a print like this usually does

Above the forecast: A clear beat, especially if inflation remains well above 2% or services prices are firm, can strengthen sterling as markets price a tighter BoE path.

UK Inflation Rate (CPI) 20 August 2025: 3.8% for July 2025 against a 3.7% forecast, with the last 12 releases
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Cite this release

If you cite this release, please link to this page:

UK Inflation Rate (CPI) 20 August 2025: 3.8% vs 3.7% forecast (Office for National Statistics). Forex Fundamentals, https://forexfundamentals.com/economic-calendar/uk-cpi/2025-08-20

The last 12 releases · times in UTC
ReleasedForActualForecastPrevious
20 Aug 2025Jul3.8%3.7%3.6%
16 Jul 2025Jun3.6%3.4%3.4%
18 Jun 2025May3.4%3.4%3.5%
21 May 2025Apr3.5%3.3%2.6%
16 Apr 2025Mar2.6%2.7%2.8%
26 Mar 2025Feb2.8%2.9%3%
19 Feb 2025Jan3%2.8%2.5%
15 Jan 2025Dec2.5%2.6%2.6%
18 Dec 2024Nov2.6%2.6%2.3%
20 Nov 2024Oct2.3%2.2%1.7%
16 Oct 2024Sep1.7%1.9%2.2%
18 Sep 2024Aug2.2%2.2%2.2%