UK Inflation Rate (CPI) 18 November 2026
UK Inflation Rate (CPI) 18 November 2026: the October 2026 figure is due at 07:00 UTC. The last release came in at 3.5% for September 2026 against a forecast of 3.4%. Of the last 12 releases, 1 came in above the forecast and 4 below it.
These figures were verified on 22 Oct 2026 from the source: Office for National Statistics. This page reports the release as published: the figures and what a print like it usually does to the currency.
What a surprise usually does
Above the forecast: A clear beat, especially if inflation remains well above 2% or services prices are firm, can strengthen sterling as markets price a tighter BoE path.
Below the forecast: A clear miss or move closer to target can weaken sterling if traders expect earlier or faster rate cuts.
In line with the forecast: Sterling usually has a limited reaction if the headline and underlying components match forecasts; the trend still matters for BoE expectations.
