UK Retail Sales 20 November 2026
UK Retail Sales 20 November 2026: the October 2026 figure is due at 07:00 UTC. The last release came in at -0.4% for September 2026 against a forecast of -0.1%. Of the last 12 releases, 8 came in above the forecast and 3 below it.
These figures were verified on 24 Oct 2026 from the source: Office for National Statistics. This page reports the release as published: the figures and what a print like it usually does to the currency.
What a surprise usually does
Above the forecast: A reading above forecast would usually support sterling by pointing to stronger household demand. The reaction is generally modest, but can be larger if the increase is broad-based or materially changes the growth outlook.
Below the forecast: A reading below forecast would usually weigh on sterling as a sign of weaker consumer demand. The downside is more likely to persist if other UK activity indicators are also soft.
In line with the forecast: A result near forecast would usually leave sterling little changed. Traders would look for a bigger signal from inflation, jobs or Bank of England communication.
