Forex Fundamentals
US Core Inflation Rate (Core CPI)

US Core Inflation Rate (Core CPI) 12 August 2025

US Core Inflation Rate (Core CPI) 12 August 2025: 3.1% for July 2025, above the 3% forecast and up from 2.9% in June 2025. It is the highest reading since February 2025. 3 of the last 12 releases came in above the forecast. It was released on Tue 12 Aug 2025 at 12:30 UTC (8:30 AM ET).

These figures were verified on 4 Oct 2026 from the source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. This page reports the release as published: the figures, the consensus forecast and what a print like it usually does to the currency.

Actual
3.1%
July 2025
Forecast
3%
The market consensus
Previous
2.9%
As the source gives it

What a print like this usually does

Above the forecast: A clear upside surprise usually supports the dollar as markets reduce expectations for Fed cuts.

US Core Inflation Rate (Core CPI) 12 August 2025: 3.1% for July 2025 against a 3% forecast, with the last 12 releases
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Cite this release

If you cite this release, please link to this page:

US Core Inflation Rate (Core CPI) 12 August 2025: 3.1% vs 3% forecast (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics). Forex Fundamentals, https://forexfundamentals.com/economic-calendar/us-core-cpi/2025-08-12

The last 12 releases · times in UTC
ReleasedForActualForecastPrevious
12 Aug 2025Jul3.1%3%2.9%
15 Jul 2025Jun2.9%3%2.8%
11 Jun 2025May2.8%2.9%2.8%
13 May 2025Apr2.8%2.8%2.8%
10 Apr 2025Mar2.8%3%3.1%
12 Mar 2025Feb3.1%3.2%3.3%
12 Feb 2025Jan3.3%3.1%3.2%
15 Jan 2025Dec3.2%3.3%3.3%
11 Dec 2024Nov3.3%3.3%3.3%
13 Nov 2024Oct3.3%3.3%3.3%
10 Oct 2024Sep3.3%3.2%3.2%
11 Sep 2024Aug3.2%3.2%3.2%
The release before:US Core Inflation Rate (Core CPI) 15 July 2025The release after:US Core Inflation Rate (Core CPI) 11 September 2025US Core Inflation Rate (Core CPI): every recent resultThis week’s economic calendar