Forex Fundamentals
US GDP Growth Rate (Third Estimate)

US GDP Growth Rate (Third Estimate) 25 September 2025

US GDP Growth Rate (Third Estimate) 25 September 2025: 3.8% for Q2 2025, above the 3.3% forecast and against -0.6% in Q1 2025 (first reported as -0.5%). It is the highest reading since Q3 2023. 6 of the last 12 releases came in above the forecast. It was released on Thu 25 Sep 2025 at 12:30 UTC (8:30 AM ET).

These figures were verified on 4 Oct 2026 from the source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. This page reports the release as published: the figures, the consensus forecast and what a print like it usually does to the currency.

Actual
3.8%
Q2 2025
Forecast
3.3%
The market consensus
Previous
-0.6%
As the source gives it

What a print like this usually does

Above the forecast: The dollar may strengthen if growth is revised up enough to shift expectations for Fed easing.

US GDP Growth Rate (Third Estimate) 25 September 2025: 3.8% for Q2 2025 against a 3.3% forecast, with the last 12 releases
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Cite this release

If you cite this release, please link to this page:

US GDP Growth Rate (Third Estimate) 25 September 2025: 3.8% vs 3.3% forecast (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis). Forex Fundamentals, https://forexfundamentals.com/economic-calendar/us-gdp/2025-09-25

The last 12 releases · times in UTC
ReleasedForActualForecastPrevious
25 Sep 2025Q23.8%3.3%-0.6%
26 Jun 2025Q1-0.5%-0.2%2.4%
27 Mar 2025Q42.4%2.3%3.1%
19 Dec 2024Q33.1%2.8%3%
26 Sep 2024Q23%3%1.6%
27 Jun 2024Q11.4%1.4%3.4%
28 Mar 2024Q43.4%3.2%4.9%
21 Dec 2023Q34.9%5.2%2.1%
28 Sep 2023Q22.1%2.1%2.2%
29 Jun 2023Q12%1.4%2.6%
30 Mar 2023Q42.6%2.7%3.2%
22 Dec 2022Q33.2%2.9%-0.6%
The release before:US GDP Growth Rate (Third Estimate) 26 June 2025The release after:US GDP Growth Rate (Third Estimate) 9 April 2026US GDP Growth Rate (Third Estimate): every recent resultThis week’s economic calendar