Next release
Released quarterlyJun 25, 2026 12:30 UTC
in 4 days
Latest result
The most recent US GDP Growth Rate (Apr 9, 2026, Q4) printed 0.5% versus 0.7% expected (previous 4.4%) — below forecast, negative for the USD.
What it measures
This is the third and final estimate of last quarter's US economic growth, with the most complete data. By the time it lands, the quarter is well in the past and the figure is rarely a surprise, so it is one of the quieter releases. Traders note it mainly for the historical record and any large revision.
By the time the final GDP reading arrives, the advance and second estimates have long settled the narrative, so markets almost always look through it. Only a sizeable, unexpected revision would shift the dollar, by meaningfully changing the picture of how the economy performed. The inflation components revised alongside it can occasionally attract more attention than the growth figure itself.
What a higher or lower US GDP Growth Rate means for the USD
A stronger-than-expected reading points to a more resilient economy or higher-for-longer rates, which tends to draw capital into the USD.
Higher than forecast
An actual above the 1.6% forecast is typically bullish for the USD.
Lower than forecast
An actual below the 1.6% forecast is typically bearish for the USD.
Release history
Every release of US GDP Growth Rate: actual vs forecast and the beat/miss outcome. Click a date for the full read of that release.
| Release | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 · Q4 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 4.4% | below |
| Sep 25, 2025 · Q2 | 3.8% | 3.3% | -0.6% | above |
| Jun 26, 2025 · Q1 | -0.5% | -0.2% | 2.4% | below |
| Mar 27, 2025 · Q4 | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | above |
| Dec 19, 2024 · Q3 | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3% | above |
| Sep 26, 2024 · Q2 | 3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | inline |
| Jun 27, 2024 · Q1 | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.4% | above |
| Mar 28, 2024 · Q4 | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | above |
| Dec 21, 2023 · Q3 | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% | below |
| Sep 28, 2023 · Q2 | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | inline |
| Jun 29, 2023 · Q1 | 2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | above |
| Mar 30, 2023 · Q4 | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | below |
| Dec 22, 2022 · Q3 | 3.2% | 2.9% | -0.6% | above |
| Sep 29, 2022 · Q2 | -0.6% | -0.6% | -1.6% | inline |
| Jun 29, 2022 · Q1 | -1.6% | -1.5% | 6.9% | below |
| Mar 30, 2022 · Q4 | 6.9% | 7% | 2.3% | below |
| Dec 22, 2021 · Q3 | 2.3% | 2.1% | 6.7% | above |
| Jun 24, 2021 · Q1 | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | inline |
| Mar 25, 2021 · Q4 | 4.3% | 4.1% | 33.4% | above |
| Dec 22, 2020 · Q3 | 33.4% | 33.1% | -31.4% | above |
| Jun 25, 2020 · Q1 | -5% | -5% | 2.1% | inline |
| Mar 26, 2020 · Q4 | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | inline |
| Mar 28, 2019 · Q4 | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | below |
| Mar 28, 2018 · Q4 | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | above |
| Mar 30, 2017 · Q4 | 2.1% | 2% | 3.5% | above |
| Mar 25, 2016 · Q4 | 1.4% | 1% | 2.0% | above |
| Jun 24, 2015 · Q1 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 2.2% | above |
| Mar 27, 2015 · Q4 | 2.2% | 2.4% | 5.0% | below |
Frequently asked questions
- What is US GDP Growth Rate?
- This is the third and final estimate of last quarter's US economic growth, with the most complete data. By the time it lands, the quarter is well in the past and the figure is rarely a surprise, so it is one of the quieter releases. Traders note it mainly for the historical record and any large revision.
- What was the latest US GDP Growth Rate reading?
- The most recent release (Apr 9, 2026, Q4) came in at 0.5%, versus a forecast of 0.7% and a previous 4.4% — below expectations.
- When is the next US GDP Growth Rate?
- The next US GDP Growth Rate is scheduled for Jun 25, 2026. It is released quarterly.
- What happens to the USD if US GDP Growth Rate is higher than expected?
- An actual reading above the consensus forecast is typically bullish for the USD, while a reading below forecast is bearish for the USD. A stronger-than-expected reading points to a more resilient economy or higher-for-longer rates, which tends to draw capital into the USD.
- How does US GDP Growth Rate affect the USD?
- By the time the final GDP reading arrives, the advance and second estimates have long settled the narrative, so markets almost always look through it. Only a sizeable, unexpected revision would shift the dollar, by meaningfully changing the picture of how the economy performed. The inflation components revised alongside it can occasionally attract more attention than the growth figure itself.