Glossary

Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE)

What is PCE? Personal Consumption Expenditures is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, tracking consumer spending and accounting for substitution effects.

Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) is the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation. It tracks consumer spending and accounts for substitution effects.

Unlike CPI, PCE uses a broader base of goods and services and adjusts when consumers switch to cheaper alternatives. The Fed targets 2% Core PCE inflation.

When is the next PCE?

Released monthly

Jul 30, 2026 12:30 UTC

in 18 days

The next PCE Price Index release is on Thursday, July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. It is published by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis once a month, usually in the last week. As the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, PCE carries extra weight for rate expectations and the dollar.

Consensus forecast
3.7%
Previous
4.1%

Recent PCE Price Index releases

The last several readings of the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. A hotter PCE print keeps the Fed leaning toward higher rates, which is generally supportive of the US dollar.

PeriodActualForecastPreviousOutcomeReleased
May4.1%4.0%3.8%aboveJun 25, 2026
Apr3.8%3.8%3.5%inlineMay 28, 2026
Mar3.5%3.3%2.8%aboveApr 30, 2026
Feb2.8%2.8%2.8%inlineApr 9, 2026
Jan2.8%2.8%2.9%inlineMar 13, 2026
Dec2.9%2.8%2.8%aboveFeb 20, 2026

See the full US PCE Price Index history and next release.

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