GBP · Growth

UK Manufacturing PMI

Next release: Jul 1, 2026

Next release

Released monthly

Jul 1, 2026 08:30 UTC

in 9 days

Consensus forecast
51.3
Previous
53.9

Latest result

The most recent UK Manufacturing PMI (Jun 1, 2026, May) printed 53.9 versus 53.7 expected (previous 53.7) — above forecast, positive for the GBP.

What it measures

This is a monthly survey of UK factory managers, asking whether activity, orders and hiring are rising or falling. A reading above 50 means the sector is growing, below 50 means it is shrinking. This is the final reading, revising the earlier flash estimate, so it usually moves the market less.

A reading comfortably above 50, or a beat versus the flash, can support the pound, while a drop below 50 or a sharp revision lower can soften it. Manufacturing is the smaller, more cyclical part of the UK economy, so it moves sterling less than the services PMI. As a revision of the flash estimate it usually passes quietly unless the change is sharp.

What a higher or lower UK Manufacturing PMI means for the GBP

A stronger-than-expected reading points to a more resilient economy or higher-for-longer rates, which tends to draw capital into the GBP.

Higher than forecast

An actual above the 51.3 forecast is typically bullish for the GBP.

Lower than forecast

An actual below the 51.3 forecast is typically bearish for the GBP.

Release history

Every release of UK Manufacturing PMI: actual vs forecast and the beat/miss outcome. Click a date for the full read of that release.

ReleaseActualForecastPreviousOutcome
Jun 1, 2026 · May53.953.753.7above
May 1, 2026 · Apr53.753.651.0above
Apr 1, 2026 · Mar51.051.451.7below
Mar 2, 2026 · Feb51.752.052.0below
Feb 2, 2026 · Jan51.851.650.6above

Frequently asked questions

What is UK Manufacturing PMI?
This is a monthly survey of UK factory managers, asking whether activity, orders and hiring are rising or falling. A reading above 50 means the sector is growing, below 50 means it is shrinking. This is the final reading, revising the earlier flash estimate, so it usually moves the market less.
What was the latest UK Manufacturing PMI reading?
The most recent release (Jun 1, 2026, May) came in at 53.9, versus a forecast of 53.7 and a previous 53.7 — above expectations.
When is the next UK Manufacturing PMI?
The next UK Manufacturing PMI is scheduled for Jul 1, 2026. It is released monthly.
What happens to the GBP if UK Manufacturing PMI is higher than expected?
An actual reading above the consensus forecast is typically bullish for the GBP, while a reading below forecast is bearish for the GBP. A stronger-than-expected reading points to a more resilient economy or higher-for-longer rates, which tends to draw capital into the GBP.
How does UK Manufacturing PMI affect the GBP?
A reading comfortably above 50, or a beat versus the flash, can support the pound, while a drop below 50 or a sharp revision lower can soften it. Manufacturing is the smaller, more cyclical part of the UK economy, so it moves sterling less than the services PMI. As a revision of the flash estimate it usually passes quietly unless the change is sharp.

Other releases

Be ready for the next UK Manufacturing PMI

See the consensus, get an alert before it prints, and read the live GBP bias the moment the actual lands — alongside every other release that moves the GBP.