Next release
Released quarterlyJun 30, 2026 06:00 UTC
in 9 days
Latest result
The most recent UK GDP Growth Rate (Mar 31, 2026, Q4) printed 0.1% versus 0.1% expected (previous 0.1%) — in line with forecast.
What it measures
This is the final, confirming estimate of how much the UK economy grew over the quarter, revising the earlier readings with the most complete data. By this stage the figure is well known, so it rarely surprises. It measures the whole economy, led by services.
Because this is the final estimate, arriving after the market has already digested the advance and second readings, the reaction is usually small. Only a notable revision would move the pound, with stronger growth mildly supportive and a downgrade mildly negative. It ranks low among UK GDP releases for market impact.
What a higher or lower UK GDP Growth Rate means for the GBP
A stronger-than-expected reading points to a more resilient economy or higher-for-longer rates, which tends to draw capital into the GBP.
Higher than forecast
An actual above the 0.6% forecast is typically bullish for the GBP.
Lower than forecast
An actual below the 0.6% forecast is typically bearish for the GBP.
Release history
Every release of UK GDP Growth Rate: actual vs forecast and the beat/miss outcome. Click a date for the full read of that release.
| Release | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 · Q4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | inline |
| Sep 30, 2025 · Q2 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | inline |
| Jun 30, 2025 · Q1 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | inline |
| Mar 28, 2025 · Q4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0% | inline |
| Dec 23, 2024 · Q3 | 0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | below |
| Sep 30, 2024 · Q2 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | below |
| Jun 28, 2024 · Q1 | 0.7% | 0.6% | -0.3% | above |
| Mar 28, 2024 · Q4 | -0.3% | -0.3% | -0.1% | inline |
| Dec 22, 2023 · Q3 | -0.1% | 0.0% | 0% | below |
| Sep 29, 2023 · Q2 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | inline |
| Jun 30, 2023 · Q1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | inline |
| Mar 31, 2023 · Q4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | -0.1% | above |
| Dec 22, 2022 · Q3 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 0.1% | below |
| Sep 30, 2022 · Q2 | 0.2% | -0.1% | 0.7% | above |
| Jun 30, 2022 · Q1 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | inline |
| Mar 31, 2022 · Q4 | 1.3% | 1% | 0.9% | above |
| Dec 22, 2021 · Q3 | 1.1% | 1.3% | 5.4% | below |
| Sep 30, 2021 · Q2 | 5.5% | 4.8% | -1.4% | above |
| Jun 30, 2021 · Q1 | -1.6% | -1.5% | 1.3% | below |
| Mar 31, 2021 · Q4 | 1.3% | 1% | 16.9% | above |
| Dec 22, 2020 · Q3 | 16% | 15.5% | -18.8% | above |
| Sep 30, 2020 · Q2 | -19.8% | -20.4% | -2.5% | above |
| Jun 30, 2020 · Q1 | -2.2% | -2% | 0.0% | below |
| Mar 31, 2020 · Q4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | inline |
| Dec 20, 2019 · Q3 | 0.4% | 0.3% | -0.2% | above |
| Sep 30, 2019 · Q2 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 0.6% | inline |
| Jun 28, 2019 · Q1 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | inline |
| Mar 29, 2019 · Q4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | inline |
| Dec 21, 2018 · Q3 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | inline |
| Sep 28, 2018 · Q2 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | inline |
| Jun 29, 2018 · Q1 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | above |
| May 25, 2018 · Q1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | inline |
| Mar 29, 2018 · Q4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | inline |
| Feb 22, 2018 · Q4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | below |
| Dec 22, 2017 · Q3 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | inline |
| Nov 23, 2017 · Q3 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | inline |
Frequently asked questions
- What is UK GDP Growth Rate?
- This is the final, confirming estimate of how much the UK economy grew over the quarter, revising the earlier readings with the most complete data. By this stage the figure is well known, so it rarely surprises. It measures the whole economy, led by services.
- What was the latest UK GDP Growth Rate reading?
- The most recent release (Mar 31, 2026, Q4) came in at 0.1%, versus a forecast of 0.1% and a previous 0.1% — in line with expectations.
- When is the next UK GDP Growth Rate?
- The next UK GDP Growth Rate is scheduled for Jun 30, 2026. It is released quarterly.
- What happens to the GBP if UK GDP Growth Rate is higher than expected?
- An actual reading above the consensus forecast is typically bullish for the GBP, while a reading below forecast is bearish for the GBP. A stronger-than-expected reading points to a more resilient economy or higher-for-longer rates, which tends to draw capital into the GBP.
- How does UK GDP Growth Rate affect the GBP?
- Because this is the final estimate, arriving after the market has already digested the advance and second readings, the reaction is usually small. Only a notable revision would move the pound, with stronger growth mildly supportive and a downgrade mildly negative. It ranks low among UK GDP releases for market impact.