EUR/JPY Interest Rate Differential
The current policy-rate gap between Euro and Japanese Yen, and which side of EUR/JPY earns the carry. Updated daily · as of June 18, 2026.
Euro carries the higher policy rate, so going long EUR/JPY earns positive carry (swap); the opposite side pays it.
This is the current gap. The market trades the expected differential, which can move EUR/JPY before any rate change lands.
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EUR/JPY carry — frequently asked
What is the EUR/JPY interest rate differential?
The EUR/JPY interest rate differential is currently +1.25 pp — the Euro policy rate (2.25%) minus the Japanese Yen policy rate (1.00%). Euro carries the higher rate, so it tends to attract demand.
Does long EUR/JPY earn or pay swap (carry)?
Going long EUR/JPY earns positive carry, paid as the daily swap (rollover), because that side holds the higher-yielding currency (Euro). The opposite side pays the swap. Carry is simply the interest-rate differential turned into a daily cash flow.
Why does the expected EUR/JPY differential matter more than today's?
Markets price the future, not the present. EUR/JPY can move on a widening or narrowing expected differential before any actual rate change, as new data and central-bank guidance shift the expected paths of the Euro and Japanese Yen central banks. Today's gap is largely already priced in.
Does the higher-yielding side of EUR/JPY always go up?
No. The rate differential is gravity, not a guarantee. It dominates in calm, risk-on conditions, but in a risk-off shock capital rushes to safe havens regardless of yield, and crowded carry positions can unwind violently.